Home » Posts tagged "Estimation"

Shortcuts Do Not Exist

Many of you are familiar with the “technology adoption life cycle” model, long a pillar of everything from new tech product pitches to IPO roadshows. However, overuse has eroded the model’s impact. Today, it’s less an effective visualization of market traction, and more a symbol...
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This Time We’ll Do Things Differently, Promise

The B-21’s core design initiative has been to use mature and semi-mature components and subsystems not only to lower risk and to decrease development time and costs, but also to better ensure support for the aircraft over time. Although many look to history to predict...
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Dealing with the Uncertainty in Scientific Results

MOST EVIDENCE IN the empirical sciences is statistical in nature, and scientists rely on a variety of statistical tests to distinguish valid scientific discoveries from spurious ones. Unfortunately, there is a growing recognition that many important research findings based on statistical evidence are not reproducible,...
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Doing The Impossible By Using Simple Math

This is not to say Musk will realize his most ambitious goals: landing on Mars, electrifying much of the world’s transportation fleet, and accelerating the transition from a fossil-fuel to a carbon-free economy. But each is closer than most thought possible in such a short...
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Preparing To Manage A Trillion-Dollar Mistake

According to a Pentagon history of the F-35, Darpa quietly sought assistance from a research and development arm of Lockheed Martin known as the Skunk Works. By the early 1990s, the Darpa-Skunk Works collaboration had produced preliminary concepts, and the Marine Corps began pressing Congress...
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Don’t Set A Deadline

The first idea is to change your goal structure: don’t set a deadline, set a schedule. Rather than set a goal to read X number of books by the end of the year, set a schedule of when you’ll read. For example, you’ll read 20...
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Use Your Dark Data

In the same way that dark matter is an unseen but very large part of the cosmos , dark data represents the unseen but very large part of the data that most corporations collect and store.
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You Are Only As Good As Your Project Data

As you’ve probably heard, while Hillary Clinton won the majority of the popular vote, Donald Trump was awarded more than 270 votes in the Electoral College. Many, particularly on social media, were incredulous, partly at the candidates but also at the pollsters — in particular,...
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Lessons Learned From Marathon Runners

Lessons Learned From Marathon Runners
The problem I continue to see in my coaching and consulting with runners is when time goals are selected that aren’t based on current fitness, actual training adaptation or performances along the way. Sometimes the number becomes a means to motivate and may not match...
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Ya Gotta Know What Is Normal

Ya Gotta Know What Is Normal
The key was that I knew what was normal, what a typical project looked like, how the typical project would play out. This included all the typical problems that would go wrong. Most importantly I knew that given just enough time in the overall schedule, we would have the time to fix any issues.
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